Tampa Bay Lightning
7-3-14th in the Atlantic Division
In position
The Tampa Bay Lightning are on pace for 52-23-7
52-23-7
on pace for
85% to make the playoffs
down 5 pts in 7 days
Oct 2 71%85% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record at this pace
52-23-7
Projected points
111
Games left
71
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 7-3-1 through 11 games of the 2026-27 NHL season, a 63.6% win rate. That pace extends to a 52-23-7 finish, about 52 wins. In the standings that is about 111 points (2 for a win, 1 for an overtime loss). Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from MoneyPuck. How our numbers work
East wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lightning | 7-3-1 | 85% |
| 8 | Canadiens | 6-3-2 | 68% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 9 | Panthers | 6-4-2 | 57%level with the line |
| 10 | Red Wings | 5-4-3 | 30%1 point back |
| 11 | Capitals | 6-4-0 | 58%2 points back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- vs Winnipeg Jets (4-4-3)
- at Nashville Predators (4-3-4)
- vs Detroit Red Wings (5-4-3)
- vs Chicago Blackhawks (3-8-0)
Last game
L 4-5 at UTAH
SatFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Tampa Bay Lightning on pace for in 2026-27?
Through 11 games the Tampa Bay Lightning are 7-3-1. At that pace they project to finish 52-23-7 — about 52 wins over the 82-game season.
What is the Tampa Bay Lightning's projected final record?
At their current pace, 52-23-7 (63.6% win rate), extrapolated from their 7-3-1 record. MoneyPuck supplies the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
How many points are the Tampa Bay Lightning on pace for?
At their current pace the Tampa Bay Lightning project to about 111 points (a 52-23-7 record) — NHL standings are decided by points, with 2 for a win and 1 for an overtime loss.
How does PaceToWin project the Tampa Bay Lightning?
PaceToWin takes the Tampa Bay Lightning's current win rate and extends it across the full 82-game NHL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from MoneyPuck. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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