Season Outlook
- Actual pace
- Projected
- League avg (.500)
- Playoff line
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Based on current pace — not a probability.
The Phillies are on pace for a 90-72 finish (55.4% win rate).
The Philadelphia Phillies are 72-58 through 130 games of the 2026 MLB season — a 55.4% win rate. At that pace PaceToWin projects a 90-72 final record, about 90 wins. Enter a hypothetical record below to see how their projected finish changes. Updated Aug 23, 2026, live from ESPN.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Philadelphia Phillies on pace for in 2026?
Through 130 games the Philadelphia Phillies are 72-58. At that pace they project to finish 90-72 — about 90 wins over the 162-game season.
What is the Philadelphia Phillies' projected final record?
PaceToWin projects a 90-72 finish (55.4% win rate), extrapolated from their current 72-58 record. It updates live as results come in.
Are the Philadelphia Phillies on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 90 wins is above .500 for the 162-game season, so at their current pace the Philadelphia Phillies are on track for a winning record. See the Playoff Pace meter above for their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Philadelphia Phillies?
PaceToWin takes the Philadelphia Phillies' current win rate and extends it across the full 162-game MLB season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Every number refreshes live from ESPN.