Season Outlook
- Actual pace
- Projected
- League avg (.500)
- Playoff line
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Based on current pace — not a probability.
The Rays are on pace for a 95-67 finish (58.9% win rate).
The Tampa Bay Rays are 76-53 through 129 games of the 2026 MLB season — a 58.9% win rate. At that pace PaceToWin projects a 95-67 final record, about 95 wins. Enter a hypothetical record below to see how their projected finish changes. Updated Aug 23, 2026, live from ESPN.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Tampa Bay Rays on pace for in 2026?
Through 129 games the Tampa Bay Rays are 76-53. At that pace they project to finish 95-67 — about 95 wins over the 162-game season.
What is the Tampa Bay Rays' projected final record?
PaceToWin projects a 95-67 finish (58.9% win rate), extrapolated from their current 76-53 record. It updates live as results come in.
Are the Tampa Bay Rays on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 95 wins is above .500 for the 162-game season, so at their current pace the Tampa Bay Rays are on track for a winning record. See the Playoff Pace meter above for their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Tampa Bay Rays?
PaceToWin takes the Tampa Bay Rays' current win rate and extends it across the full 162-game MLB season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Every number refreshes live from ESPN.