Season Outlook
- Actual pace
- Projected
- League avg (.500)
- Playoff line
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Based on current pace — not a probability.
The Mets are on pace for a 74-88 finish (45.4% win rate).
The New York Mets are 59-71 through 130 games of the 2026 MLB season — a 45.4% win rate. At that pace PaceToWin projects a 74-88 final record, about 74 wins. Enter a hypothetical record below to see how their projected finish changes. Updated Aug 23, 2026, live from ESPN.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the New York Mets on pace for in 2026?
Through 130 games the New York Mets are 59-71. At that pace they project to finish 74-88 — about 74 wins over the 162-game season.
What is the New York Mets' projected final record?
PaceToWin projects a 74-88 finish (45.4% win rate), extrapolated from their current 59-71 record. It updates live as results come in.
Are the New York Mets on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 74 wins is below .500 for the 162-game season, so at their current pace the New York Mets are on track for a sub-.500 record. See the Playoff Pace meter above for their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the New York Mets?
PaceToWin takes the New York Mets' current win rate and extends it across the full 162-game MLB season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Every number refreshes live from ESPN.