Season Outlook
- Actual pace
- Projected
- League avg (.500)
- Playoff line
Straight-line pace — the current win rate extended over the full season, not a probability.
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The Reds are on pace for a 76-86 finish (46.6% win rate).
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-79 through 148 games of the 2026 MLB season — a 46.6% win rate. That pace extends to a 76-86 finish, about 76 wins; the Projected Final Record tile above adds the model's view of the remaining schedule. Enter a hypothetical record below to see how their projected finish changes. Updated Sep 12, 2026, live from ESPN.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Cincinnati Reds on pace for in 2026?
Through 148 games the Cincinnati Reds are 69-79. At that pace they project to finish 76-86 — about 76 wins over the 162-game season.
What is the Cincinnati Reds' projected final record?
At their current pace, 76-86 (46.6% win rate), extrapolated from their 69-79 record. The PaceToWin model, which simulates the rest of the schedule, shows its own projection and likely range in the Projected Final Record tile above; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Cincinnati Reds on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 76 wins is below .500 for the 162-game season, so at their current pace the Cincinnati Reds are on track for a sub-.500 record. See the Playoff odds meter above for their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Cincinnati Reds?
PaceToWin takes the Cincinnati Reds' current win rate and extends it across the full 162-game MLB season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Every number refreshes live from ESPN.