Dallas Mavericks
1-24th in the Southwest
In the hunt
The Dallas Mavericks are on pace for 27-55. The model says 35-47, eight wins better than pace
35-47
projected finish
19% to make the playoffs
Oct 22 10%19% Oct 26
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
35-47
Point-diff wins
27
Games left
79
The Dallas Mavericks are 1-2 through 3 games of the 2026-27 NBA season, a 33.3% win rate. That pace extends to a 27-55 finish, about 27 wins. ESPN's Basketball Power Index projects 35-47. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. How our numbers work
West playoff race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 3-0 | 15% |
| 5 | Rockets | 3-0 | 99% |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 2-0 | 92% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | 1-1 | 95%1 game back |
| 8 | Suns | 1-1 | 31%1 game back |
| 9 | Spurs | 1-2 | >99%1.5 games back |
| 10 | Clippers | 1-2 | 8%1.5 games back |
| 11 | Jazz | 1-2 | 6%1.5 games back |
| 12 | Mavericks | 1-2 | 19%1.5 games back |
| 13 | Pelicans | 0-3 | 1%2.5 games back |
| 14 | Warriors | 0-3 | 38%2.5 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- at Miami Heat (0-3)
- vs Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0)
- vs Houston Rockets (3-0)
- vs Sacramento Kings (0-3)
Last game
L 106-122 vs SA
SatFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Dallas Mavericks on pace for in 2026-27?
Through 3 games the Dallas Mavericks are 1-2. At that pace they project to finish 27-55 — about 27 wins over the 82-game season.
What is the Dallas Mavericks' projected final record?
At their current pace, 27-55 (33.3% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-2 record. ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Dallas Mavericks on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 27 wins is below .500 for the 82-game season, so at their current pace the Dallas Mavericks are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Dallas Mavericks?
PaceToWin takes the Dallas Mavericks' current win rate and extends it across the full 82-game NBA season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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