Milwaukee Bucks
1-35th in the Central
In the hunt
The Milwaukee Bucks are on pace for 21-61. The model says 26-56, five wins better than pace
26-56
projected finish
<1% to make the playoffs
Oct 22 <1%<1% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
26-56
Point-diff wins
28
Games left
78
The Milwaukee Bucks are 1-3 through 4 games of the 2026-27 NBA season, a 25.0% win rate. That pace extends to a 21-61 finish, about 21 wins. ESPN's Basketball Power Index projects 26-56. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. How our numbers work
East playoff race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 2-1 | 84% |
| 5 | Celtics | 2-1 | >99% |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 2-1 | 93% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 7 | Hawks | 2-2 | 90%half a game back |
| 8 | Pacers | 2-2 | 41%half a game back |
| 9 | Wizards | 2-2 | 4%half a game back |
| 10 | Magic | 1-2 | 51%1 game back |
| 11 | Bulls | 1-3 | <1%1.5 games back |
| 12 | Bucks | 1-3 | <1%1.5 games back |
| 13 | Knicks | 0-3 | 95%2 games back |
| 14 | Nets | 0-3 | <1%2 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- vs Houston Rockets (4-0)
- vs Cleveland Cavaliers (2-1)
- at Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1)
- at Boston Celtics (2-1)
Last game
W 110-102 vs IND
MonFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Milwaukee Bucks on pace for in 2026-27?
Through 4 games the Milwaukee Bucks are 1-3. At that pace they project to finish 21-61 — about 21 wins over the 82-game season.
What is the Milwaukee Bucks' projected final record?
At their current pace, 21-61 (25.0% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-3 record. ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Milwaukee Bucks on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 21 wins is below .500 for the 82-game season, so at their current pace the Milwaukee Bucks are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Milwaukee Bucks?
PaceToWin takes the Milwaukee Bucks' current win rate and extends it across the full 82-game NBA season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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