Oklahoma City Thunder
4-01st in the Northwest
In position
The Oklahoma City Thunder are on pace for 82-0. The model says 61-21, 21 wins worse than pace
61-21
projected finish
>99% to make the playoffs
Oct 21 >99%>99% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
61-21
Point-diff wins
66
Games left
78
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-0 through 4 games of the 2026-27 NBA season, a 100.0% win rate. That pace extends to a 82-0 finish, about 82 wins. ESPN's Basketball Power Index projects 61-21. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. How our numbers work
West playoff race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 4-0 | 99% |
| 2 | Thunder | 4-0 | >99% |
| 3 | Grizzlies | 4-0 | 14% |
| 4 | Lakers | 3-0 | 97% |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 2-0 | 91% |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 3-1 | >99% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 7 | Mavericks | 2-2 | 19%1 game back |
| 8 | Spurs | 1-2 | >99%1.5 games back |
| 9 | Clippers | 1-2 | 6%1.5 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- at Dallas Mavericks (2-2)
- at Houston Rockets (4-0)
- at Cleveland Cavaliers (2-1)
- vs Cleveland Cavaliers (2-1)
Last game
W 125-114 vs PHX
MonFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Oklahoma City Thunder on pace for in 2026-27?
Through 4 games the Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-0. At that pace they project to finish 82-0 — about 82 wins over the 82-game season.
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's projected final record?
At their current pace, 82-0 (100.0% win rate), extrapolated from their 4-0 record. ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Oklahoma City Thunder on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 82 wins is above .500 for the 82-game season, so at their current pace the Oklahoma City Thunder are on track for a winning record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Oklahoma City Thunder?
PaceToWin takes the Oklahoma City Thunder's current win rate and extends it across the full 82-game NBA season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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