Denver Nuggets
1-24th in the Northwest
The Denver Nuggets are on pace for 27-55. The model says 44-38, 17 wins better than pace
44-38
projected finish
84% to make the playoffs
Oct 23 96%84% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
44-38
Point-diff wins
22
Games left
79
The Denver Nuggets are 1-2 through 3 games of the 2026-27 NBA season, a 33.3% win rate. That pace extends to a 27-55 finish, about 27 wins. ESPN's Basketball Power Index projects 44-38. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. How our numbers work
West playoff race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 3-0 | 97% |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 2-0 | 90% |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 3-1 | >99% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 7 | Mavericks | 2-2 | 20%1 game back |
| 8 | Spurs | 1-2 | >99%1.5 games back |
| 9 | Clippers | 1-2 | 6%1.5 games back |
| 10 | Nuggets | 1-2 | 84%1.5 games back |
| 11 | Suns | 1-2 | 24%1.5 games back |
| 12 | Warriors | 1-3 | 63%2 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- at New Orleans Pelicans (0-3)
- at Phoenix Suns (1-2)
- vs Portland Trail Blazers (2-0)
- vs Toronto Raptors (2-1)
Last game
L 114-134 vs GS
MonFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Denver Nuggets on pace for in 2026-27?
Through 3 games the Denver Nuggets are 1-2. At that pace they project to finish 27-55 — about 27 wins over the 82-game season.
What is the Denver Nuggets' projected final record?
At their current pace, 27-55 (33.3% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-2 record. ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Denver Nuggets on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 27 wins is below .500 for the 82-game season, so at their current pace the Denver Nuggets are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Denver Nuggets?
PaceToWin takes the Denver Nuggets' current win rate and extends it across the full 82-game NBA season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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