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Washington Wizards

2-23rd in the Southeast

Play-in

The Washington Wizards are on pace for 41-41. The model says 33-49, eight wins worse than pace

33-49

projected finish

4% to make the playoffs

Playoff odds this season
50%peak 5%

Oct 22 3%4% Oct 27

Updated

Where they stand

Projected final record

33-49

Point-diff wins

40

Games left

78

The Washington Wizards are 2-2 through 4 games of the 2026-27 NBA season, a 50.0% win rate. That pace extends to a 41-41 finish, about 41 wins. ESPN's Basketball Power Index projects 33-49. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. How our numbers work

East playoff race

Full race
SeedTeamW-LPlayoff odds
4Raptors2-184%
5Celtics2-1>99%
6Cavaliers2-193%
Playoff line
7Hawks2-290%half a game back
8Pacers2-241%half a game back
9Wizards2-24%half a game back
10Magic1-251%1 game back
11Bulls1-3<1%1.5 games back

Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.

What comes next

  1. at Cleveland Cavaliers (2-1)
  2. vs Charlotte Hornets (3-1)
  3. at Orlando Magic (1-2)
  4. vs Atlanta Hawks (2-2)

Last game

L 103-110 at CHA

Mon

Frequently Asked Questions

How many wins are the Washington Wizards on pace for in 2026-27?

Through 4 games the Washington Wizards are 2-2. At that pace they project to finish 41-41 — about 41 wins over the 82-game season.

What is the Washington Wizards' projected final record?

At their current pace, 41-41 (50.0% win rate), extrapolated from their 2-2 record. ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.

Are the Washington Wizards on pace for a winning season?

Their projected 41 wins is below .500 for the 82-game season, so at their current pace the Washington Wizards are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.

How does PaceToWin project the Washington Wizards?

PaceToWin takes the Washington Wizards' current win rate and extends it across the full 82-game NBA season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Basketball Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.