Season Outlook
- Actual pace
- Projected
- League avg (.500)
- Playoff line
Straight-line pace — the current win rate extended over the full season, not a probability.
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The 49ers are on pace for a 17-0 finish (100.0% win rate).
The San Francisco 49ers are 1-0 through 1 games of the 2026 NFL season — a 100.0% win rate. That pace extends to a 17-0 finish, about 17 wins; the Projected Final Record tile above adds the model's view of the remaining schedule. Enter a hypothetical record below to see how their projected finish changes. Updated Sep 12, 2026, live from ESPN.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the San Francisco 49ers on pace for in 2026?
Through 1 games the San Francisco 49ers are 1-0. At that pace they project to finish 17-0 — about 17 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the San Francisco 49ers' projected final record?
At their current pace, 17-0 (100.0% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-0 record. The PaceToWin model, which simulates the rest of the schedule, shows its own projection and likely range in the Projected Final Record tile above; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the San Francisco 49ers on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 17 wins is above .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the San Francisco 49ers are on track for a winning record. See the Playoff odds meter above for their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the San Francisco 49ers?
PaceToWin takes the San Francisco 49ers' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Every number refreshes live from ESPN.