Miami Dolphins
1-54th in the AFC East
In the hunt
The Miami Dolphins are on pace for 3-14. The model says 3-14, which matches the pace
3-14
projected finish
<1% to make the playoffs
no change pts in 7 days
Sep 14 <1%<1% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
3-14
Point-diff wins
4
Games left
11
The Miami Dolphins are 1-5 through 6 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 16.7% win rate. That pace extends to a 3-14 finish, about 3 wins. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
AFC wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Broncos | 5-2 | 82% |
| 6 | Steelers | 5-2 | 56% |
| 7 | Bengals | 4-2 | 92% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 8 | Patriots | 4-3 | 75%half a game back |
| 9 | Ravens | 4-3 | 50%half a game back |
| 10 | Raiders | 3-4 | 5%1.5 games back |
| … | |||
| 12 | Colts | 2-5 | 5%2.5 games back |
| 13 | Texans | 2-5 | 25%2.5 games back |
| 14 | Dolphins | 1-5 | <1%3 games back |
| 15 | Titans | 1-6 | <1%3.5 games back |
| 16 | Chargers | 0-6 | <1%4 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- vs New England Patriots (4-3)
- vs Detroit Lions (4-2)
- at Indianapolis Colts (2-5)
- at Buffalo Bills (5-1)
Last game
W 28-25 at NYJ
SunFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Miami Dolphins on pace for in 2026?
Through 6 games the Miami Dolphins are 1-5. At that pace they project to finish 3-14 — about 3 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Miami Dolphins' projected final record?
At their current pace, 3-14 (16.7% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-5 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Miami Dolphins on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 3 wins is below .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Miami Dolphins are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Miami Dolphins?
PaceToWin takes the Miami Dolphins' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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