Houston Texans
2-53rd in the AFC South
In the hunt
The Houston Texans are on pace for 5-12. The model says 8-9, three wins better than pace
8-9
projected finish
25% to make the playoffs
down 22 pts in 7 days
Sep 13 59%25% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
8-9
Point-diff wins
7
Games left
10
The Houston Texans are 2-5 through 7 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 28.6% win rate. That pace extends to a 5-12 finish, about 5 wins. ESPN's Football Power Index projects 8-9. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
AFC wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Broncos | 5-2 | 82% |
| 6 | Steelers | 5-2 | 56% |
| 7 | Bengals | 4-2 | 92% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 8 | Patriots | 4-3 | 75%half a game back |
| 9 | Ravens | 4-3 | 50%half a game back |
| 10 | Raiders | 3-4 | 5%1.5 games back |
| 11 | Jets | 2-5 | 1%2.5 games back |
| 12 | Colts | 2-5 | 5%2.5 games back |
| 13 | Texans | 2-5 | 25%2.5 games back |
| 14 | Dolphins | 1-5 | <1%3 games back |
| 15 | Titans | 1-6 | <1%3.5 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- at Los Angeles Chargers (0-6)
- at Cleveland Browns (5-2)
- vs Indianapolis Colts (2-5)
- vs Baltimore Ravens (4-3)
Last game
L 21-27 vs NYG
SunFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Houston Texans on pace for in 2026?
Through 7 games the Houston Texans are 2-5. At that pace they project to finish 5-12 — about 5 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Houston Texans' projected final record?
At their current pace, 5-12 (28.6% win rate), extrapolated from their 2-5 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Houston Texans on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 5 wins is below .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Houston Texans are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Houston Texans?
PaceToWin takes the Houston Texans' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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