Detroit Lions
4-23rd in the NFC North
In position
The Detroit Lions are on pace for 11-6. The model says 10-7, one win worse than pace
10-7
projected finish
68% to make the playoffs
no change pts in 7 days
Sep 13 72%68% Oct 26
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
10-7
Point-diff wins
10
Games left
11
The Detroit Lions are 4-2 through 6 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 66.7% win rate. That pace extends to a 11-6 finish, about 11 wins. ESPN's Football Power Index projects 10-7. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
NFC wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bears | 5-2 | 80% |
| 6 | Lions | 4-2 | 68% |
| 7 | Packers | 4-3 | 41% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 8 | Seahawks | 4-3 | 72%level with the line |
| 9 | Falcons | 3-4 | 21%1 game back |
| 10 | Rams | 3-4 | 39%1 game back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- vs Minnesota Vikings (6-0)
- at Miami Dolphins (1-5)
- vs New England Patriots (4-3)
- vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5)
Last game
W 20-17 vs GB
SunFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Detroit Lions on pace for in 2026?
Through 6 games the Detroit Lions are 4-2. At that pace they project to finish 11-6 — about 11 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Detroit Lions' projected final record?
At their current pace, 11-6 (66.7% win rate), extrapolated from their 4-2 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Detroit Lions on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 11 wins is above .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Detroit Lions are on track for a winning record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Detroit Lions?
PaceToWin takes the Detroit Lions' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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