Las Vegas Raiders
3-43rd in the AFC West
In the hunt
The Las Vegas Raiders are on pace for 7-10. The model says 7-10, which matches the pace
7-10
projected finish
5% to make the playoffs
down 4 pts in 7 days
Sep 14 12%5% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
7-10
Point-diff wins
8
Games left
10
The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-4 through 7 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 42.9% win rate. That pace extends to a 7-10 finish, about 7 wins. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
AFC wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Broncos | 5-2 | 82% |
| 6 | Steelers | 5-2 | 56% |
| 7 | Bengals | 4-2 | 92% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 8 | Patriots | 4-3 | 75%half a game back |
| 9 | Ravens | 4-3 | 50%half a game back |
| 10 | Raiders | 3-4 | 5%1.5 games back |
| 11 | Jets | 2-5 | 1%2.5 games back |
| 12 | Colts | 2-5 | 5%2.5 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- at New York Jets (2-5)
- at San Francisco 49ers (6-1)
- vs Seattle Seahawks (4-3)
- at Denver Broncos (5-2)
Last game
L 21-35 vs LAR
SunFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Las Vegas Raiders on pace for in 2026?
Through 7 games the Las Vegas Raiders are 3-4. At that pace they project to finish 7-10 — about 7 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Las Vegas Raiders' projected final record?
At their current pace, 7-10 (42.9% win rate), extrapolated from their 3-4 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Las Vegas Raiders on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 7 wins is below .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Las Vegas Raiders are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Las Vegas Raiders?
PaceToWin takes the Las Vegas Raiders' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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