Washington Commanders
1-4-14th in the NFC East
In the hunt
The Washington Commanders are on pace for 3-11-3. The model says 6-10-1, three wins better than pace
6-10-1
projected finish
7% to make the playoffs
down 4 pts in 7 days
Sep 14 20%7% Oct 26
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
6-10-1
Point-diff wins
5
Games left
11
The Washington Commanders are 1-4-1 through 6 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 25.0% win rate. That pace extends to a 3-11-3 finish, about 3 wins. ESPN's Football Power Index projects 6-10-1. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
NFC wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bears | 5-2 | 80% |
| 6 | Lions | 4-2 | 68% |
| 7 | Packers | 4-3 | 41% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 8 | Seahawks | 4-3 | 72%level with the line |
| 9 | Falcons | 3-4 | 21%1 game back |
| 10 | Rams | 3-4 | 39%1 game back |
| … | |||
| 14 | Saints | 2-5 | 8%2 games back |
| 15 | Cardinals | 2-5 | <1%2 games back |
| 16 | Commanders | 1-4-1 | 7%2 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- vs Philadelphia Eagles (2-4)
- vs Los Angeles Rams (3-4)
- at New York Giants (4-2-1)
- vs Cincinnati Bengals (4-2)
Last game
L 17-23 at SF
Oct 19Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Washington Commanders on pace for in 2026?
Through 6 games the Washington Commanders are 1-4-1. At that pace they project to finish 3-11-3 — about 3 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Washington Commanders' projected final record?
At their current pace, 3-11-3 (25.0% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-4-1 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Washington Commanders on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 3 wins is below .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Washington Commanders are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Washington Commanders?
PaceToWin takes the Washington Commanders' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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