Denver Broncos
5-22nd in the AFC West
In position
The Denver Broncos are on pace for 12-5. The model says 11-6, one win worse than pace
11-6
projected finish
82% to make the playoffs
up 11 pts in 7 days
Sep 15 59%82% Oct 26
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
11-6
Point-diff wins
10
Games left
10
The Denver Broncos are 5-2 through 7 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 71.4% win rate. That pace extends to a 12-5 finish, about 12 wins. ESPN's Football Power Index projects 11-6. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
AFC wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Broncos | 5-2 | 82% |
| 6 | Steelers | 5-2 | 55% |
| 7 | Bengals | 4-2 | 92% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 8 | Patriots | 4-3 | 74%half a game back |
| 9 | Ravens | 4-3 | 50%half a game back |
| 10 | Raiders | 3-4 | 6%1.5 games back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- vs Kansas City Chiefs (5-1)
- at Carolina Panthers (3-3)
- vs Las Vegas Raiders (3-4)
- at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2)
Last game
W 30-16 at ARI
SunFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Denver Broncos on pace for in 2026?
Through 7 games the Denver Broncos are 5-2. At that pace they project to finish 12-5 — about 12 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Denver Broncos' projected final record?
At their current pace, 12-5 (71.4% win rate), extrapolated from their 5-2 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Denver Broncos on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 12 wins is above .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Denver Broncos are on track for a winning record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Denver Broncos?
PaceToWin takes the Denver Broncos' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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