Chicago Bears
5-22nd in the NFC North
In position
The Chicago Bears are on pace for 12-5. The model says 11-6, one win worse than pace
11-6
projected finish
80% to make the playoffs
up 2 pts in 7 days
Sep 13 50%80% Oct 26
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
11-6
Point-diff wins
11
Games left
10
The Chicago Bears are 5-2 through 7 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 71.4% win rate. That pace extends to a 12-5 finish, about 12 wins. ESPN's Football Power Index projects 11-6. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
NFC wild card race
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bears | 5-2 | 80% |
| 6 | Lions | 4-2 | 68% |
| 7 | Packers | 4-3 | 41% |
| Playoff line | |||
| 8 | Seahawks | 4-3 | 72%level with the line |
| 9 | Falcons | 3-4 | 21%1 game back |
| 10 | Rams | 3-4 | 39%1 game back |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- at Seattle Seahawks (4-3)
- vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5)
- vs New Orleans Saints (2-5)
- at Detroit Lions (4-2)
Last game
W 30-24 vs NE
ThuFrequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Chicago Bears on pace for in 2026?
Through 7 games the Chicago Bears are 5-2. At that pace they project to finish 12-5 — about 12 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Chicago Bears' projected final record?
At their current pace, 12-5 (71.4% win rate), extrapolated from their 5-2 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Chicago Bears on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 12 wins is above .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Chicago Bears are on track for a winning record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Chicago Bears?
PaceToWin takes the Chicago Bears' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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