Jacksonville Jaguars
4-21st in the AFC South
In position
The Jacksonville Jaguars are on pace for 11-6. The model says 11-6, which matches the pace
11-6
projected finish
92% to make the playoffs
up 4 pts in 7 days
Sep 13 53%92% Oct 27
Updated
Where they stand
Projected final record
11-6
Point-diff wins
12
Games left
11
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-2 through 6 games of the 2026 NFL season, a 66.7% win rate. That pace extends to a 11-6 finish, about 11 wins. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
AFC division leaders
Full race| Seed | Team | W-L | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bills | 5-1 | 96% |
| 3 | Browns | 5-2 | 26% |
| 4 | Jaguars | 4-2 | 92% |
Seeds follow today's standings; odds follow the model.
What comes next
- vs Indianapolis Colts (2-5)
- at Baltimore Ravens (4-3)
- at Tennessee Titans (1-6)
- at New York Giants (4-2-1)
Last game
L 31-34 vs HOU
Oct 18Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Jacksonville Jaguars on pace for in 2026?
Through 6 games the Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-2. At that pace they project to finish 11-6 — about 11 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Jacksonville Jaguars' projected final record?
At their current pace, 11-6 (66.7% win rate), extrapolated from their 4-2 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Jacksonville Jaguars on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 11 wins is above .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Jacksonville Jaguars are on track for a winning record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Jacksonville Jaguars?
PaceToWin takes the Jacksonville Jaguars' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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