Season Outlook
- Actual pace
- Projected
- League avg (.500)
- Playoff line
Straight-line pace — the current win rate extended over the full season, not a probability.
--
The Patriots are on pace for a 0-17 finish (0.0% win rate).
The New England Patriots are 0-1 through 1 games of the 2026 NFL season — a 0.0% win rate. That pace extends to a 0-17 finish, about 0 wins; the Projected Final Record tile above adds the model's view of the remaining schedule. Enter a hypothetical record below to see how their projected finish changes. Updated Sep 12, 2026, live from ESPN.
Calculate Projection
Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the New England Patriots on pace for in 2026?
Through 1 games the New England Patriots are 0-1. At that pace they project to finish 0-17 — about 0 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the New England Patriots' projected final record?
At their current pace, 0-17 (0.0% win rate), extrapolated from their 0-1 record. The PaceToWin model, which simulates the rest of the schedule, shows its own projection and likely range in the Projected Final Record tile above; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the New England Patriots on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 0 wins is below .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the New England Patriots are on track for a sub-.500 record. See the Playoff odds meter above for their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the New England Patriots?
PaceToWin takes the New England Patriots' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Every number refreshes live from ESPN.