NFL Playoff Picture

2026

Playoff picture Standings

What's moving

Biggest playoff-odds swings over the last 7 days — the part standings tables don't show.

-37.4 Los Angeles Rams 47.5% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 81.8% to 47.5%21d -33.9 Los Angeles Chargers 32.3% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 65.1% to 32.3%21d -33.5 Denver Broncos 20.7% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 53.6% to 20.7%21d +31.2 Jacksonville Jaguars 83.6% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 54.0% to 83.6%21d +29.0 San Francisco 49ers 92.8% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 66.8% to 92.8%21d -28.1 Green Bay Packers 33.8% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 63.3% to 33.8%21d

American Football Conference

Division leaders

TeamW-LPCTGB to top seedStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
Baltimore Ravens1-01.000–W117-094.5%▲ +14.7Playoff odds over 22 days, 82.5% to 94.5%In
Buffalo Bills1-01.000–W117-094.3%▲ +10.2Playoff odds over 22 days, 84.9% to 94.3%In
Jacksonville Jaguars1-01.000–W117-083.6%▲ +31.2Playoff odds over 22 days, 54.0% to 83.6%In
Kansas City Chiefs1-01.000–W117-093.0%▲ +25.0Playoff odds over 22 days, 67.6% to 93.0%In

Wild card — 3 spots availableOrdered by record, not by odds — the cut line follows the standings.

TeamW-LPCTGB to WCStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
Las Vegas Raiders1-01.0000W117-013.7%▲ +8.7Playoff odds over 22 days, 6.0% to 13.7%In
New York Jets1-01.0000W117-019.1%▲ +12.6Playoff odds over 22 days, 3.9% to 19.1%In
Cincinnati Bengals1-01.000–W117-077.5%▲ +6.8Playoff odds over 22 days, 69.2% to 77.5%In
Pittsburgh Steelers1-01.0000W117-039.2%–Playoff odds over 22 days, 38.5% to 39.2%Out
Houston Texans0-1.0001L10-1756.5%▼ -2.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 57.9% to 56.5%Out
Indianapolis Colts0-1.0001L10-1718.1%▼ -21.1Playoff odds over 22 days, 35.8% to 18.1%Out
Miami Dolphins0-1.0001L10-170.2%▼ -1.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 2.1% to 0.2%Out
Tennessee Titans0-1.0001L10-172.5%▼ -7.1Playoff odds over 22 days, 12.4% to 2.5%Out
Denver Broncos0-1.0001L10-1720.7%▼ -33.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 53.6% to 20.7%Out
Cleveland Browns0-1.0001L10-171.0%▼ -4.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 5.5% to 1.0%Out
Los Angeles Chargers0-1.0001L10-1732.3%▼ -33.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 65.1% to 32.3%Out
New England Patriots0-1.0001L10-1753.8%▼ -5.6Playoff odds over 22 days, 61.1% to 53.8%Out

National Football Conference

Division leaders

TeamW-LPCTGB to top seedStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
Minnesota Vikings1-01.000–W117-056.5%▲ +26.8Playoff odds over 22 days, 29.1% to 56.5%In
New York Giants1-01.000–W117-042.3%▲ +22.6Playoff odds over 22 days, 22.0% to 42.3%In
San Francisco 49ers1-01.000–W117-092.8%▲ +29.0Playoff odds over 22 days, 66.8% to 92.8%In
Carolina Panthers0-1.0001L10-1718.2%▲ +0.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 15.8% to 18.2%In

Wild card — 3 spots availableOrdered by record, not by odds — the cut line follows the standings.

TeamW-LPCTGB to WCStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
Chicago Bears1-01.0000W117-072.4%▲ +26.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 46.5% to 72.4%In
Detroit Lions1-01.0000W117-064.2%▼ -7.2Playoff odds over 22 days, 68.4% to 64.2%In
Philadelphia Eagles1-01.000–W117-059.0%▼ -3.8Playoff odds over 22 days, 60.5% to 59.0%In
Arizona Cardinals1-01.0000W117-010.4%▲ +9.0Playoff odds over 22 days, 1.2% to 10.4%Out
Seattle Seahawks1-01.0000W117-053.4%▼ -14.6Playoff odds over 22 days, 69.1% to 53.4%Out
New Orleans Saints0-1.0001L10-1732.6%▲ +6.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 23.8% to 32.6%Out
Washington Commanders0-1.0001L10-1718.1%▼ -0.8Playoff odds over 22 days, 22.7% to 18.1%Out
Green Bay Packers0-1.0001L10-1733.8%▼ -28.1Playoff odds over 22 days, 63.3% to 33.8%Out
Dallas Cowboys0-1.0001L10-1737.5%▼ -14.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 48.1% to 37.5%Out
Los Angeles Rams0-1.0001L10-1747.5%▼ -37.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 81.8% to 47.5%Out
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-1.0001L10-1745.0%▼ -0.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 47.3% to 45.0%Out
Atlanta Falcons0-1.0001L10-1716.5%▼ -15.2Playoff odds over 22 days, 33.7% to 16.5%Out

Playoff odds: espn-fpi · 7d = change over the last seven days

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the NFL playoff format work?

Fourteen teams reach the postseason — seven per conference: four division winners and three wild cards. Only the No. 1 seed in each conference gets a bye.

What do the playoff odds mean?

The odds are the share of simulated seasons in which a team reaches the postseason. They update as games finish, which is why a team's number moves even on days it does not play — other results change the picture too.

What does “GB to WC” mean?

Games behind the last wild-card spot — not games behind the division leader. It is the number that actually matters in a wild-card chase: a team can be far back in its own division while sitting half a game from a playoff berth.

What does the 7d column show?

How much a team's playoff odds have moved over the last seven days, from our own stored history. It is the part almost no other free site shows.

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