NFL Playoff Picture

2026

Playoff picture Standings

What's moving

Biggest playoff-odds swings over the last 7 days — the part standings tables don't show.

-9.4 New England Patriots 52.4% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 61.1% to 51.7%21d -8.4 Seattle Seahawks 61.6% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 69.1% to 60.7%21d +5.3 Dallas Cowboys 52.7% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 48.1% to 53.4%21d -3.7 Baltimore Ravens 79.6% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 82.5% to 78.8%21d +3.6 Los Angeles Rams 77.5% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 81.8% to 85.4%21d +3.4 Los Angeles Chargers 67.3% now · 7-day swing Playoff odds over 22 days, 65.1% to 68.5%21d

American Football Conference

Division leaders

TeamW-LPCTGB to top seedStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
New England Patriots0-1.000–L10-1752.4%▼ -9.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 61.1% to 51.7%In
Cincinnati Bengals0-0.000–-–70.1%▲ +0.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 69.2% to 69.7%Out
Tennessee Titans0-0.000–-–11.2%▼ -0.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 12.4% to 11.5%Out
Denver Broncos0-0.000–-–55.3%▲ +0.8Playoff odds over 22 days, 53.6% to 54.4%Out

Wild card — 3 spots availableOrdered by record, not by odds — the cut line follows the standings.

TeamW-LPCTGB to WCStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
Buffalo Bills0-0.0000-–85.9%▲ +1.7Playoff odds over 22 days, 84.9% to 86.6%Out
Miami Dolphins0-0.0000-–1.3%▼ -0.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 2.1% to 1.6%Out
New York Jets0-0.000–-–5.6%▲ +1.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 3.9% to 5.4%Out
Cleveland Browns0-0.0000-–5.8%▲ +0.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 5.5% to 6.0%Out
Pittsburgh Steelers0-0.0000-–39.3%▲ +0.8Playoff odds over 22 days, 38.5% to 39.3%Out
Baltimore Ravens0-0.0000-–79.6%▼ -3.7Playoff odds over 22 days, 82.5% to 78.8%Out
Indianapolis Colts0-0.0000-–38.3%▲ +3.3Playoff odds over 22 days, 35.8% to 39.1%Out
Jacksonville Jaguars0-0.0000-–52.5%▼ -1.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 54.0% to 52.1%Out
Houston Texans0-0.0000-–60.9%▲ +2.2Playoff odds over 22 days, 57.9% to 60.1%Out
Kansas City Chiefs0-0.0000-–68.6%▲ +1.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 67.6% to 69.5%Out
Las Vegas Raiders0-0.0000-–5.8%▼ -0.2Playoff odds over 22 days, 6.0% to 5.8%Out
Los Angeles Chargers0-0.0000-–67.3%▲ +3.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 65.1% to 68.5%Out

National Football Conference

Division leaders

TeamW-LPCTGB to top seedStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
San Francisco 49ers1-01.000–W117-077.5%▲ +0.2Playoff odds over 22 days, 66.8% to 67.0%In
Dallas Cowboys0-0.0000.5-–52.7%▲ +5.3Playoff odds over 22 days, 48.1% to 53.4%Out
Chicago Bears0-0.0000.5-–45.4%▼ -0.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 46.5% to 46.0%Out
Atlanta Falcons0-0.0000.5-–31.5%▼ -1.7Playoff odds over 22 days, 33.7% to 32.0%Out

Wild card — 3 spots availableOrdered by record, not by odds — the cut line follows the standings.

TeamW-LPCTGB to WCStreakProjPlayoff odds7dTrend (21d)Status
Seattle Seahawks1-01.000+0.5W117-061.6%▼ -8.4Playoff odds over 22 days, 69.1% to 60.7%In
Los Angeles Rams0-1.0000.5L10-1777.5%▲ +3.6Playoff odds over 22 days, 81.8% to 85.4%Out
New York Giants0-0.000–-–19.9%▼ -1.1Playoff odds over 22 days, 22.0% to 20.9%Out
Philadelphia Eagles0-0.0000-–59.9%▼ -1.3Playoff odds over 22 days, 60.5% to 59.2%Out
Washington Commanders0-0.0000-–19.8%▼ -2.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 22.7% to 20.2%Out
Detroit Lions0-0.0000-–71.2%▲ +2.8Playoff odds over 22 days, 68.4% to 71.2%Out
Green Bay Packers0-0.0000-–64.6%▲ +0.6Playoff odds over 22 days, 63.3% to 63.9%Out
Minnesota Vikings0-0.0000-–29.3%▲ +1.3Playoff odds over 22 days, 29.1% to 30.4%Out
New Orleans Saints0-0.0000-–24.2%▲ +0.6Playoff odds over 22 days, 23.8% to 24.4%Out
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-0.0000-–45.7%▼ -1.1Playoff odds over 22 days, 47.3% to 46.2%Out
Carolina Panthers0-0.0000-–17.6%▲ +1.9Playoff odds over 22 days, 15.8% to 17.7%Out
Arizona Cardinals0-0.0000-–1.8%▲ +0.5Playoff odds over 22 days, 1.2% to 1.7%Out

Playoff odds: espn-fpi · 7d = change over the last seven days

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the NFL playoff format work?

Fourteen teams reach the postseason — seven per conference: four division winners and three wild cards. Only the No. 1 seed in each conference gets a bye.

What do the playoff odds mean?

The odds are the share of simulated seasons in which a team reaches the postseason. They update as games finish, which is why a team's number moves even on days it does not play — other results change the picture too.

What does “GB to WC” mean?

Games behind the last wild-card spot — not games behind the division leader. It is the number that actually matters in a wild-card chase: a team can be far back in its own division while sitting half a game from a playoff berth.

What does the 7d column show?

How much a team's playoff odds have moved over the last seven days, from our own stored history. It is the part almost no other free site shows.

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